Monday, August 23, 2010

Here's the situation.

Well the veto ceremony is going on right now so I thought I would take the time to go over the last couple days. There has been a lot going on in this house over the past 2 days. Brendon winning veto was the worst case scenario and that obviously puts Britney in a bit of a predicament. Which one of her close friends does she put up against Enzo? Well Britney has laid it out. She isn't putting up Lane because obviously she wants final 2 with him. She doesn't want to put up Ragan because he didn't have a chance to play in the veto. That leaves Hayden and Matt. If she puts up Matt, he goes home. If she puts up Hayden, Enzo goes home. Now I have been flip-flopping on what would be a better for her game because let's go through the worst case scenarios.

1. Matt goes up and out. During double eviction HOH, that takes out one person who is definitely going to try to win HOH and wants Brendon out more than she does. The odds of Brendon winning HOH are higher and if he does, who does he put up? Britney and Ragan. Worst Case, Ragan wins POV. Who goes home? Britney.

2. Hayden goes up and Enzo goes home. The boys are pissed at her for going against them and want her out of the house. The odds of Hayden and Lane and Matt still wanting her around are slim and Matt, who will most likely win HOH if not Brendon, will probably put her up to protect the Brigade. Britney subsequently goes home.

Now at first, I was thinking Matt is more likely to be trustworthy to Britney over Enzo and that was what Ragan was trying to tell Britney. At one point Britney has a conversation with Lane about it but he talked her out of it. When I woke up this morning, I realized that it was completely in her best interest to get rid of Matt. This is the only chance they are going to be able to get him out, and the likeliness of Matt being loyal to brit is slim to nothing. Also Lane, Enzo, and Hayden are planning to take Britney to final 4. At that point in the game, she will probably be able to beat them over Matt and Ragan. She is dumb for thinking that the boys are actually aligned with her, but she isn't dumb for sticking with them and then knocking them out. It is clear that Britney wants a final 3 of Hayden, Lane, and herself. She needs to win HOH for that to happen but she has the highest chance of doing that. But before we think that far ahead in the game, there is another obstacle: BRENDON.

Now we all know that Britney is one of Brendon's targets but let's be real, who is number 1? Matt! I would even go and say that he would target Ragan before he targeted Britney. She would probably be safe if Brendon wins HOH with Matt still the house. If Matt or Ragan wins HOH, Britney still could be safe...maybe. But realistically, If she puts up Hayden, she has the house against her and they might not want to keep her.

So basically the conclusion I had come to was BRITNEY IS SCREWED!

But then Matt screwed himself over. Matt came up with a plan to throw Ragan under the bus and keep the Brigade intact. Problem with that is it backs up Britney's original "Matt is totally shady and untrustworthy" reason for putting him up. Ragan would take a bullet for Matt and Matt acts like he would do the same for Ragan. Even the brigade thinks it's not okay that he is throwing Ragan under the bus that hard.

Then it gets better. Britney realized that if she was going to go through with backdooring Matt, she was going to have to cover her bases with Brendon. Britney and Brendon had a pretty decent conversation. Britney told him straight up that she was doing him a favor by putting Matt up because has done nothing that would make her think that Matt wouldn't have her back. She was like take this as an apology for putting you up. Brendon seemed to be down with the Britney not going on the block during double eviction. He kind of offered her a Final 2 deal that she never actually accepted but went along with it. She mostly was just saying that it helps me having you in the game and if they did go to final 2, it is a justified even ground final 2. They are both tied for comps at this point. Obviously Britney was just covering her bases but I think Brendon was legit. Brendon said they would talk before thursday and come up with a plan for double eviction if Brendon wins HOH and which of the guys would go up. It seems pretty legit but I don't really know what Brendon is actually thinking.

So hopefully Britney is not in danger for DE but who knows what is going to happen.

Sorry if none of this makes sense...my thought process rarely makes sense : )

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Feeds just came back. Matt is on the block.

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